The contradiction is all too apparent in the U.S., where President Joe Biden asked OPEC and its allies to increase crude production just months after enacting a wave of anti-oil policies at home including canceling the Keystone XL pipeline and floating a fracking ban.
The Biden administration’s plea to OPEC “reveals a fundamental truth that should inform any rationale conversation about the future of energy,” said Chevron CEO Mike Wirth. “Oil and gas continue to play a central role in meeting the world’s energy needs and we play an essential role in delivering them in a lower carbon way.”
$75 Crude
Wirth also called for more “optimism” around the transition away from fossil fuels. “Optimism is the spark of innovation, the catalyst of risk,” he said.
The industry has ample cause for optimism. Even after whipsaw price swings in recent weeks amid omicron’s spread and supply-shortage concerns, international oil prices are up 45 per cent this year at about $75 a barrel. Benchmark Dutch gas futures have increased five-fold since the end of 2020 to the equivalent of more than $30 per million British thermal units.
Oil explorers are making the most free cash flow since crude traded for more than $100 a barrel seven years ago while the U.S. shale industry is reaping record profits.
Signs posted outside the convention center in downtown Houston claimed for the city the mantle of “energy transition capital of the world.” But a paramount concern for management teams assembled inside was whether the industry is investing enough in new drilling to meet demand and stabilize prices.
“Investment is the greatest challenge the oil industry faces today,” said John Hess, CEO at Hess Corp. “Oil and gas are going to be needed for the next 10 to 20 years and lot of it is going to be needed.”
Grim Warning
Saudi Aramco’s CEO warned of “chaos” unless governments stopped discouraging fossil-fuel investments. The Riyadh-based International Energy Forum called on companies to raise spending to $523 billion a year by the end of this decade to forestall an uncontrolled surge in energy prices and economic unrest.
That message is unlikely to go down well with policymakers and environmentalists pushing for a stricter limits on emissions worldwide. But it’s also the new reality as the Northern Hemisphere heads into winter facing the spectre of an energy squeeze and record price hikes.
Focusing purely on supply-side actors won’t arrest climate change, Exxon Mobil Corp. CEO Darren Woods said in his opening speech to the conference’s 5,000 attendees.
“Narrowly focusing and taking action on one aspect of the challenge could potentially lead to significant unintended consequences,” Woods said. “The best intentions poorly executed can do more harm than good.”
Emission Targets
American companies including Exxon and Chevron are much more focused on cleaning up their own emissions, so-called Scope 1 and 2, rather than those emanating from the use of their products. In contrast to most of their European peers, the U.S. drillers see those Scope 3 emissions, which represent the largest part of oil and gas pollution, as the responsibility of consumers.
“This is a massive, massive challenge,” said Mark Little, CEO of Calgary-based Suncor Energy Inc.. “And everybody’s trying to solve that on the supply side and the demonization of the producers, but at what point are we going to have the real conversation?”
(Bloomberg News)
