July 23, 2018
The world’s largest oil companies are pumping more natural gas than ever before, helping to spur a rise in profits while sating rising global demand for fuels that can mitigate global greenhouse gas emissions.
This marks a shift over the past decade for an industry that once focused predominantly on crude oil, with gas in most cases an after-thought. Now, the rise of gas-powered electric generation, surging production from U.S shale fields and the burgeoning liquefied natural gas (LNG) industry that makes shipping the fuel possible, have conspired to create a boom.
BP Plc, Exxon Mobil Corp, Royal Dutch Shell Plc, Total SA and Chevron Corp have collectively increased natural gas output 15 per cent in the past decade thanks to better technology and lower costs, according to data from Wood Mackenzie energy consultancy.
Analysts expect all to post double-digit increases in second-quarter profit in coming days, according to Thomson Reuters.
“LNG is the growth commodity for these companies,” said Brian Youngberg, an energy industry analyst with Edward Jones, who expects the global LNG industry to grow at least 4 per cent annually for the next five years.
At Total, gas is actually 61 per cent of output, up from 47 per cent as recently as 10 years ago, according to WoodMac.
Total is expected by analysts to post a 44 per cent jump in second-quarter profit to $3.56 billion, according to Thomson Reuters.
Even as gas production has risen, so too have reserves of natural gas. International energy companies saw gas reserves jump 16 percent last year to 35.33 billion cubic feet, according to a study by the EY consultancy.
“There are investments and capital expenditures being made to increase the level of gas reserves, and that should only continue,” said Herb Listen, an EY energy analyst.
Exxon, for its part, sees natural gas usage growing at the fastest rate of any energy type out through 2040, reaching a quarter of global demand by that time.
“Worries about energy supplies have faded away, erased in large part by natural gas,” Exxon Chief Executive Darren Woods told the World Gas Conference last month in Washington, D.C.
Exxon is expected by analysts to post a 62 per cent increase in quarterly profit to $5.45 billion, according to Thomson Reuters.
Gas does have limitations. It’s harder to transport than crude oil, which can be stored indefinitely in tanks, and it must be processed right away, boosting costs.
But greenhouse emissions from gas are far less than coal or oil when it is burned, boosting its appeal for a sector eager to combat allegations that it is the primary cause of anthropogenic climate change.
“I’m confident that natural gas will play a central role in meeting global energy needs for decades,” Mike Wirth, Chevron’s chief executive, said at the World Gas Conference.
Chevron, which operates two major LNG facilities in Australia, is expected by analysts to post quarterly profit of $4 billion, more than double year-ago levels, according to Thomson Reuters.
Shell put natural gas at the heart of its long-term strategy with the $53 billion acquisition of BG Group in 2016. The Anglo-Dutch company, already the world’s largest LNG trader, is expected by analysts to post a 68 per cent jump in quarterly profit to $6.08 billion, according to Thomson Reuters.
London-based BP is going through the fastest growth era in its history with plans to boost production by around 900,000 barrels of oil equivalent by 2021. The company launched eight projects in 2017 and is set to launch seven more this year, most of which are related to gas.